When the Spyglass Flicks Over Iran – Markets Go to War
Nigel Green, CEO of deVere Group, just dropped a seismic warning on the trading floor. He’s telling investors that a U.S. strike against Iran could send the global markets into a wild, whirlwind sell‑off. Even though tensions in the Middle East have been heating up lately, markets have oddly stayed calm – until the next big news flash.
What’s the game plan?
The U.S. President has emailed a sketchy “attack plan” to his top buds, but he’s holding his horses until we can see what Tehran’s next move will be. Meanwhile, oil prices have already jumped about 9% since Israel’s first strike on Iranian targets – the market’s betting that a new supply crisis is just on the horizon.
Oil, Dollars, and the “Stress‑Test” of a Market
- Crude Up – If the U.S. goes all‑in, key refineries or shipping lanes might get hit, pushing oil prices to new highs.
- Rolling Dollar – The currency has been trading stronger versus the yen and Swiss franc as traders look for a safe haven.
- Yield Taps – Treasury yields have slipped, signaling a shift toward safer assets.
According to Nigel, “Every time the U.S. boots up, the market’s like that kid who’s all‑ready to burst into a party when he hears the music. The first thing to feel the beat is the high‑beta tech stocks, emerging markets, and any currency that’s sensitive to risk.”
Why is it a big deal?
“If oil spikes high, a spell of inflation could rewrite the playbook for interest rates. That would hit equities hard – many already priced in a perfectly stable world.”
“Just imagine: rates that are supposed to slide like a water slide suddenly jump and slam the finish line. That’s a double whammy for stocks priced on ‘perfect’ pro markets.”
Markets As Far as They Go, The Wall’s Far From Closed
- Shock Timing – If a strike comes out of the blue or off‑hours, the market will scramble, creating gaps and dry liquidity.
- Risk‑Focus Shift – Stocks that are high on volatility get the first cut.
- Strategic Pull‑Back – Investors will ditch risky assets as confidence drops.
The CEO struck a note: “We’re on a learning curve. If war erupts, the market will process that information with the speed of a gossip mill.” He warns that current optimism – risk‑asset allocation remains high, low‑rate positioning still in play, and volatility remains sluggish – might actually “amplify the shock” if the U.S. buzzes in.
Where’s the Final Call?
Right now, Washington has not committed to a concrete military move, though U.S. presence in the region has creep‑tended up. Market hedging is on, traders and investors are watching every headline like a person in the dark counting ticks on a clock.
Green’s conclusion? “Feel the pulse of sentiment, watch as the market re‑prices, and chase the safe haven.” The firm urges investors to keep a safety net ready and not let the next headline have the whole world alarmed. The advice? Don’t freak out, but stay prepared – it’s how you keep that long‑term trajectory intact while the markets do their short‑term freak‑out dance.
Wrap‑Up: Stay in the Groove (and Stay on a Level Ground)
With the deVere Group continuously watching the front lines, clients will get real‑time insights and guidance. For now, it’s a matter of staying calm – because that’s the best way to win the war ones aren’t fighting yet. “Act one: watch your portfolio. Act two: watch the headlines. Act three: move fast if the U.S. goes ahead.” No panic, just pre‑emptive strategy. You’ve got this!
