Risk Rally Continues to Surge

Risk Rally Continues to Surge

Market Buzz: A Day to Remember

Yesterday’s trade run was a classic case of “the risk rally keeps rolling”. Even with a pretty bland data calendar, stocks strutted across the globe, boosting everything from the Nasdaq 100 to the Stoxx 600. Let’s break it down, with a splash of humor and a ton of relatability.

What Happened?

  • Wall Street led the pack: Nasdaq 100 sprinted up, while the S&P 500 hit another snooze‑button‑free record.
  • Across the pond: European markets kept the vibe alive. The Stoxx 600 hit a new high, FTSE 100 and DAX 40 were sitting comfortably at all‑time records, and even France’s CAC 40 topped last-year’s best days.
  • Why talk about this? It’s proof that the market can stay on a high, even when the broader economy feels a bit like a rainy day.

Why the Upswing?

Smart investors shrugged off tariff jitters like they’re just a season‑al warning. Proxies for the outlook remained optimistic, especially since President Trump still views those tariffs as a check‑list bargaining tool. The market is basically saying, “Got it, we’ll roll with it.” But watch out—next week could be a stormy one.

What’s on the Radar?

  • First FOMC meeting of the year—watch for that policy signal.
  • Big‑cap earnings: TSLA, MSFT, META, AAPL will all be dropping year‑ending numbers.
  • Potential tariff shift in Canada/Mexico mid-February.

Side‑by‑Side: Bonds & Currency

Bonds were a tiny dip—nothing dramatic, just a slight wobble in the belly of the curve. The USD stayed flat, nice and steady around the 108 mark. Most traders are still letting the dollar sit in their long position while waiting for any tariff clarity to arrive.

UK Conundrum

With the UK showing a bigger budget deficit in December than expected—thanks to a spike in debt servicing fees—the Chancellor’s claim that “UK public finances are now in order” feels a bit like a joke at a silent room. Market confidence in policy is waning. The pound might face a rough patch ahead.

What’s Next?

  • Norges Bank will keep rates flat at 4.50%, but watch their hints on a possible March 2025 rate cut.
  • Late Sunday into early Monday, the Bank of Japan plans a 25‑basis‑point hike—doubling the target rate to 0.50%.
  • US weekly jobless claims are due, plus the January labour market data.
  • In Canada, retail sales and in the euro zone, consumer confidence figures will hit markets.
  • President Trump will deliver his speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos.
  • Key earnings today: GE, American Airlines, Texas Instruments.

Wrap‑up

So the everyday hustle continues—stocks keep climbing, investors keep shrugging off tariffs, yet serious questions remain about the UK’s fiscal road map. Get ready for a busy read‑just‑in‑time highest‑buckle‑down with central banks stepping up, jobs data boiling, and all those megacap earnings dropping.“