Jobless Rates Surge As Wage Growth Stalls

Jobless Rates Surge As Wage Growth Stalls

Wage Growth Slows Down, but Pay Still Beats Inflation

Bottom line: UK earnings have dipped to just 4.8% in the last quarter, a drop from 4.9% and the lowest rate since June 2022. Even with this slowdown, wages keep rising faster than inflation.

Pay‑Growth Snapshot (Oct–Dec)

  • All‑in earnings: 4.8%
    (down one point from September’s 4.9%)
  • Wages excluding bonuses: 2.7%
    Still comfortably outpacing inflation.
  • Payroll headcount: fell slightly last month but remains higher than the previous year.
  • Annual growth in pay continued to slow, even though the trend remains positive.

Labour Market Trends

According to ONS’s labour‑force survey, job vacancies are trending downward—has been a dip for over two years now.

Work and Pensions Secretary Liz Kendall’s take: “It’s great news that real pay is still climbing, but we need more to lift living standards.” She added a boost: from April next year, over three million low‑income workers will benefit from an increase in the national living wage.

What This Means for You

While the numbers suggest a slowdown, pay is still outpacing inflation, meaning your wallet is getting a bit stronger… albeit slowly. Keep an eye on job vacancy trends, and anticipate stronger safety nets thanks to the proposed living‑wage bump.