Britain’s Pound Takes a Setback While the Euro Bounces
At about 7:20 a.m. GMT, the British pound slipped 0.1 % against the U.S. dollar, while the euro surged about 0.14 % against the pound—its best rally in roughly ten days.
What’s Driving the Drop?
- Economic Contraction – The UK economy shrank a brisk 0.3 % in Q4, faster than analysts had penciled in.
- Construction Woes – New business in the building sector plummeted, with private housing output falling an astonishing 8 %.
- Service Sector Lags – Wholesale, retail, consumer services and education all saw a slump for a third straight quarter.
- Manufacturing & Production – These too tapered off, but the slowdown was sharper than expected, especially in December.
Year‑on‑Year Snapshot
Across the whole of 2023, the UK surprisingly avoided recession, registering just 0.1 % growth compared with last year. In contrast, the construction sector delivered a modest 2 % bump for the year, despite the alarming quarterly dive.
Why This Matters for the Pound
The stronger U.S. economic signals have dampened hopes that the Fed will ease rates in March, while the Bank of England faces mounting pressure to cut rates sooner.
Keep an eye on this—if the BoE loosens monetary policy faster than the Fed, the pound is bound to feel the heat.
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