Grigory Karasin: “Yeah, the sneaky talks are getting along, but the war’s not disappearing anywhere soon”
TL;DR: A Russian negotiator says the summit with the United States has been friendly, but there’s no chance the conflict will wind up this year. He believes the real progress still has to wait beyond 2024.
What the Russian Voice Said
- He declared the US‑Russia talks “constructive,” suggesting the parties are chatting rather than fighting.
- Despite that positive vibe, he’s skeptical about curing the war within the year.
- He told state‑owned TV that no breakthrough could emerge in the first half of this meeting.
- When asked about a ceasefire in 2025, he said “it might not happen this year or at the end of this year.”
Why the Real Remedy Is Still Years Away
Karasin’s words highlight that even with productive chatter, high‑stakes peace talks often stumble over a maze of political code. The war’s complexity, coupled with deep mistrust, means any solid settlement is likely a deeper‑cut negotiation—pushing the hopeful signatory into a future horizon.
Key Takeaways
- Talks are friendly but not transformative at this juncture.
- Expect continuing negotiations, steeped in patience.
- Waiting for a ceasefire well beyond 2024 remains the status quo.
In short: the peace handshake looks rosy, but the war’s outcomes? Still a long‑term project. Stay tuned for more edits. Feels like we’re watching a slow‑moving, geopolitical long‑form drama unfold over a decade!
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Despite Putin agreeing to a limited ceasefire, Ukraine is still being attacked by missiles and drones.
Then Kyiv and Moscow agreed to not attack energy infrastructure, Russia has been accused of blowing up their own electrical substations to then accuse Ukrainian forces of the attacks.
The Ukrainian President has said Russia is preparing a new offensive in the Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts, despite Russia’s so-called limited ceasefire.
Volodymyr Zelensky said during an interview the French media outlet Le Figaro that we have to look at what is unfolding with “our eyes wide open.”
Vladimir Putin planned to launch the offensive eight months ago, but due to Ukraine starting their incursion in the Kursk Oblast on 6 August 2024 the Russian leader was forced to pause his operation.
Zelensky told Le Figaro, “We must look at the situation with our eyes wide open. Putin is preparing a new offensive, particularly in Sumy and Kharkiv oblasts.
“I can confirm that Putin is trying to get time and is preparing for a spring offensive. We see preparations for this upcoming operation.”
Putin is stalling with the peace talks to steal more territory in an attempt to strengthen his position for ceasefire talks with the US President and his team.
Citing undisclosed sources, the Moscow Times reported Moscow is wanting to strengthen their position with Washington and time is now on Russia’s side as the Kremlin want to “make the most of it,” a Russian diplomat told the media outlet.
The Russian official said the Kremlin is hoping Donald Trump will either allow Russian offensives, which he seems happy with or to place even further pressure on Kyiv to withdraw in part from the occupied regions of Ukraine.
The Kremlin has said the ceasefire talks in Saudi Arabia is the start and there will be “difficult negotiations” ahead.
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said, “We are only at the beginning of this path,” as there is many “questions” and “nuances” as to how any potential ceasefire could be reached.
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