Dollar Dips Back After Turbo‑charged Rally
After a splash‑y lift thanks to a Republican win and a wave of Trump‑fuelled optimism, the U.S. dollar decided it was time for a quick nap.
Now investors in the market are all eyes on the Fed’s next move, wondering whether to cut rates or keep them steady as the political climate adds a dash of uncertainty.
Why the Fed Matters (and Why It’s Harder to Cut Rates)
- High public spending could spark inflation, nudging Treasury yields higher and giving the Fed less wiggle room to loosen rates.
- The Republican hold on the House adds a twist—no guarantees on how much future spending will actually happen.
- Talk about Santa: people are waiting for the Fed to drop a 25‑basis‑point Christmas gift to the market.
What’s Happening With Yields?
Short‑term yields are bumping up, signalling caution. In contrast, longer‑dated yields are cooling off because the market’s got a “hold my beer” attitude—remaining patient until we know the Fed’s next big decision.
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