USD/JPY Takes a Chin‑Splash in the Morning
When the sun rose on Thursday, the USD/JPY pair had already decided to knee‑bash its own record highs from 1986 and slid down into the 160‑plus zone. The drop is all about the big interest‑rate gap: U.S. rates are hiking while straight‑ahead Yen policy looks like a polite shrug.
Why the Yen’s Feeling a Little Lopsided
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is still in the planning phase—pretty much like a cat watching a mouse. They haven’t yet mapped out how to trim out government bond buying, so the market keeps waiting. On the other side, Fed officials are waving “no rush to cut rates” banners, and the economy is showing it’s still got spine.
Stock Markets Put the Yen on the Diminished Dance Floor
- The global equity market’s up‑trend is shining down on the Yen, making it a less attractive safe haven.
- That’s feeding the USD/JPY, giving it a boost.
- Still, investors keep a watchful eye for any real‑world yen‑support moves.
Japan’s Money‑Maker Says He’s Ready to Jump In
Deputy Finance Minister Masato Kanda shrugged in fine Japanese: “We’ll act if the yen tumbles too hard and threatens Japan’s economy.”
Retail Sales—Japan’s Sweet Surprise
Retail sales for May swelled 3% year‑to‑year—a decent punch that’s bolstering the yen. It also nudges traders to take profits on the USD/JPY, hinting it might dip again if risk aversion spikes or the government actually intercedes.
What’s on the Horizon?
Deckers want to keep their eyes peeled for two things: potential government buzz and fresh U.S. data. Meanwhile, the BoJ’s schedule for stopping bond buys remains a cliffhanger.
On the Dollar Row: A Show of Strength
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is climbing, aided by the weaker yen. The euro may also lend a hand, especially with the buzz around France’s early elections and a dip in German consumer confidence.
Interest‑Rate Movements
- 10‑year Treasury yields nudged up to 4.3%.
- There was strong buyer demand, pulling $70 billion off five‑year bonds.
- Despite mixed data, the dollar—is at its highest since last November—though some say the spike is a bit inflated.
BoJ’s Final Word
Bank of Japan Governor Kozo Oida recently said the top brass will hold off on cutting bond purchases and cutting rates until the July meeting. He did, however, flag inflation worries, citing that a weak yen keeps exports competitive but inflates import costs. If the yen keeps its slump, the USD/JPY could set new highs—at least midway down the road.
Technical analysis of (USD/JPY) prices
USD/JPY Daily Outlook: Where the Money Is Likely to Flow
Diving into the daily chart of USD/JPY feels a little like checking your bank balance after a weekend binge—surprise, but maybe it’s getting you ready to shop. Below you’ll find a quick rundown that keeps the tone light, the math real, and the language human‑written.
1⃣ Grab the Chance if Prices Drop Below 160
2⃣ The Swing Pivot: 159.75 Turns From Support to Resistance
3⃣ Record‑Breaking Peak: 160.85‑160.90
Bottom Line
Happy trading, and remember: markets are a bit like weather—keep your umbrella handy but don’t forget to enjoy the sunshine.
(USD/JPY) – Prices Chart –-XS.com MT4.
USD/JPY: The Yen’s “Yo‑Yo” Ride Hits a New High
It’s been a wild ride since April 29. The pairing sailed past the 160.00 mark for the second time, smashing a new yearly high of 160.32. If you haven’t noticed, that’s a fresh peak that’s been rattling the radar of both traders and, you guessed it, the Japanese authorities.
What’s the Buzz?
- Momentum is smoking hot – the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in over‑bought territory. Not the best sign for a steady climb.
- Upside potential is still on the table, but a weaker short‑term trend could mean a sharper pullback.
- The yen’s depreciation has got everyone watching the Bank of Japan keep a close eye.
Resistance Roadmap – Where the Yen Might Face a Wall
- 161.00 – the first line of defense.
- Above that: 161.25, then a big one at 161.80 before the big leap.
- If the beast truly shakes off the lower band, it could push toward the 1986 record of 164.87.
- Soon after, the old April high of 178 is waiting – a historical show‑stopper.
Support Signals – Where the Yen Could Find Shelter
- 160.30 – 159.90 – 159.43 – the first safety net.
- If it dips below 160.00, the initial cushion appears at 158.75 (the June 24 low).
- A bigger safety zone sits around 157.82.
- For medium‑term targets: 157.53 followed by 157.24.
Quick Takeaway
In a nutshell: the yen’s on a roller‑coaster, and while it can climb higher, watch for a potential pinch. Stay tuned for sharp moves around those key levels, and expect the Bank of Japan to act like the referee holding the game in check.